[CSH Seminar #ONLINE] Covid-19 in India. Figuring out how many died (C. Guilmoto)

[CSH Seminar #ONLINE] Covid-19 in India. Figuring out how many died (C. Guilmoto)

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Prof. Christophe Guilmoto


Covid – 19 in India. Figuring out how many died

Discussant: Chinmay Tumbe teaches at the IIM Ahmedabad and has recently published The Age of Pandemics (1817–1920).

The session will be online via Zoom on 28 February 2022, 05:00 pm onwards:


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The statistical evidence on the mortality impact of the Covid-19 waves in India is limited, which suggests that the number of deaths is severely underestimated. There are, however, various alternative methods for estimating mortality during the pandemic. Figures presented here are based on specific population samples and on the modeling of Covid-19 mortality by age. Our findings point to a death toll 7–8 times higher than official statistics. Such estimates correspond to one of the most severe cases of Covid-19 mortality in the world and significantly alter the global death toll of the Covid-19 pandemic.


Christophe Z. Guilmoto is a senior fellow in demography at the French Institut de recherche pour le développement (IRD) attached to CEPED research unit in Paris and he has joined the CSH in 2021 to work on the demography of inequalities. He has worked on international migration, fertility decline and sex imbalances at birth in various countries. He is currently interested in demographic and health inequalities in India, trying to decipher the respective impact of gender, social, economic and regional differentials.

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